While HarappaOracle is a great tool, it has its limitations.
First of all, do not think of the mixed mode results as showing which populations you are descended from. Use HarappaOracle to get an idea of which populations are similar to you in their admixture results. This function is especially important since admixture results should be understood in relative terms, as I have been stressing.
Sometimes, for mixed-race people, the Oracle might sometimes provide a correct result like it does for me. For others, the known ancestral mix might not show up.
There is also the fact that the Oracle calculator is sensitive to your admixture percentages and sometimes small changes can change the Oracle mixed mode results radically.
Let's look at three siblings as an example. (My thanks to them for letting me use their results for this post.) Here are their admixture results:
|
Sibling 1 |
Sibling 2 |
Sibling 3 |
NE Euro |
43.8% |
43.1% |
43.9% |
Mediterranean |
27.6% |
26.8% |
27.0% |
Baloch |
11.2% |
11.1% |
12.2% |
Caucasian |
9.4% |
10.8% |
8.6% |
S Indian |
5.3% |
6.5% |
7.0% |
SW Asian |
1.5% |
1.0% |
0.5% |
American |
0.7% |
0.3% |
0.7% |
NE Asian |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Beringian |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
San |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
Their admixture results are broadly similar, as expected. Some of you might think that 1% less or difference is very significant, but do consider what we know of DNA inheritance and the error margins in ADMIXTURE.
Now let's see their HarappaWorld Oracle results.
Sibling 1 |
Sibling 2 |
Sibling 3 |
romany |
3.16 |
romany |
2.85 |
romany |
4.45 |
hungarian |
9.47 |
hungarian |
9.65 |
utahn-white |
10.74 |
utahn-white |
9.88 |
french |
11.05 |
n-european |
10.79 |
n-european |
9.9 |
slovenian |
11.09 |
hungarian |
10.97 |
french |
9.95 |
n-european |
11.38 |
utahn-white |
11.35 |
utahn-white |
10.62 |
utahn-white |
11.54 |
french |
11.54 |
slovenian |
10.95 |
utahn-white |
12.21 |
british |
11.94 |
british |
11.29 |
british |
12.99 |
slovenian |
12.21 |
orcadian |
13.17 |
orcadian |
14.86 |
orcadian |
13.51 |
ukranian |
17.73 |
romanian |
17.14 |
ukranian |
18.24 |
Again, not unexpected. The top 10 population matches are not too different for the siblings. There are some differences, but nothing extraordinary.
Finally let's look at mixed mode Oracle, where we try to find the 10 closest matches (based on admixture results) assuming that these individuals are mixed from two populations.
Sibling 1 |
Sibling 2 |
Sibling 3 |
91.3% romany + 8.7% lithuanian |
1.58 |
93.3% romany + 6.7% lithuanian |
1.93 |
82.8% utahn-white + 17.2% bene-israel |
1.99 |
78.4% romany + 21.6% n-european |
1.67 |
95.4% romany + 4.6% finnish |
1.99 |
83.7% n-european + 16.3% bene-israel |
2.37 |
79.7% romany + 20.3% utahn-white |
1.69 |
91.9% romany + 8.1% belorussian |
2.01 |
83.8% utahn-white + 16.2% bene-israel |
2.47 |
83.3% romany + 16.7% orcadian |
1.76 |
92.4% romany + 7.6% russian |
2.02 |
84.8% n-european + 15.2% cochin-jew |
2.52 |
94.2% romany + 5.8% finnish |
1.88 |
92.0% romany + 8.0% mordovian |
2.06 |
86.0% n-european + 14.0% kerala-christian |
2.93 |
79.8% romany + 20.2% utahn-white |
1.99 |
90.4% romany + 9.6% ukranian |
2.14 |
85.0% utahn-white + 15.0% cochin-jew |
2.98 |
90.2% romany + 9.8% belorussian |
2.00 |
88.7% romany + 11.3% slovenian |
2.5 |
85.9% n-european + 14.1% ap-hyderabad |
2.99 |
82.1% romany + 17.9% british |
2.03 |
89.2% romany + 10.8% n-european |
2.52 |
85.1% n-european + 14.9% up |
3.02 |
91.4% romany + 8.6% russian |
2.06 |
95.7% romany + 4.3% chuvash |
2.58 |
85.5% n-european + 14.5% tn-brahmin |
3.13 |
85.0% n-european + 15.0% bene-israel |
2.16 |
90.7% romany + 9.3% utahn-white |
2.58 |
85.5% n-european + 14.5% brahmin-tamil-nadu |
3.15 |
Sibling 1 and Sibling 2 are again not too different from each other: Mostly Romany with some European. However, Sibling 3 is getting vastly different results. Why? No, Sibling 3 wasn't adopted! The reason is simple. Sibling 3 has more South Indian component than the average Romany in our dataset. This means that (s)he cannot be represented as a mix of Romany and a European ethnicity without a large error. Instead mostly northwest European and a little bit of Indian, especially Indian Jewish, seem to be closest to her results. However, this does not make her Jewish or Indian Jewish (who are quite mixed with the local Indian populations).
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